How does a community flatten the curve—and keep it flat?


If history is an indicator, we are in this for the long haul. In spite of our most fervent wishes to get outside and enjoy the rites of spring—college graduations, Mother’s Day, youth sports—life is unlikely to return to normal anytime soon.
The great influenza of 1918, considered the deadliest pandemic in modern history, offers a social distancing roadmap for tackling today’s COVID-19.
After Philadelphia detected its first case of flu in September 1918, leaders warned people about openly coughing and sneezing, but ten days later the city hosted a parade attended by 200,000 people.
The number of influenza cases continued to mount, and two weeks after the first case there were 20,000 more. Several cities ( St. Louis’s Red Cross motor poll is shown above) responded quickly and decisively—and had a strikingly lower initial death rate.
As the world grinds to a halt in response to the coronavirus , scientists and historians are studying the 1918 outbreak, which killed 675,000 Americans and from 50 million to 100 million people worldwide, for clues to the most effective way to stop the pandemic.
St. Louis strictly communicated and enforced social distancing, giving it one of America’s lowest urban death rates when the outbreak, known as the great influenza, swept the nation (and the world). Minneapolis, Milwaukee, Indianapolis, and Columbus, Ohio, did the same thing—and had lower death rates the first few months.
But that’s not the takeaway—because St. Louis relaxed. It declared victory too soon.
That second bump in this graphic above shows the influenza’s tragic reoccurrence in St. Louis, writes Nat Geo’s Nina Strochlic . Death rates shot up, higher than before.
The lesson from history–don’t cave to a restless, pent-up, impatient populace; it could be fatal. Even as the beauty of spring comes into bloom, keep your distance!
Confirmed coronavirus infections around the world approached one million Thursday as the pandemic spread at a “near-exponential” rate, with a six-week-old baby becoming one of the youngest known victims. In the next few days we will reach one million confirmed cases and 50,000 deaths.”
Russian leader Vladimir Putin has decided to handle his duties remotely, the Kremlin said Wednesday, after the head of the country’s main coronavirus hospital tested positive following a meeting with the president. Denis Protsenko, who met with Putin last week as the Russian leader visited the Kommunarka hospital in Moscow, said Tuesday he had been infected with the coronavirus but was feeling well. “The president prefers these days to work…
By Lee Minji SEOUL, April 1 (Yonhap) — While unexpected cluster infections and coronavirus blues continue to dispirit people here, there’s at least one thing they no longer have to fret about: buying face masks. Nearly a month into the government’s mask rationing system, supply has loosened up in many neighborhoods across the capital, sparing people from the exhausting searching and hourslong queuing for face masks. In early March, the…
The Pentagon is holding on to 2,000 ventilators because they don’t know where to ship them, according to CNN. The ventilators are part of military stocks, and Pentagon officials say that despite offering them out two weeks ago, they have not been told where to ship them. The US is suffering from a lack of medical supplies amid the coronavirus pandemic and ventilators have become a high priority, as they are used to help treat patients with the…
Kirsten Han, an activist and Editor-in-Chief of New Naratif was interviewed on Malaysian TV programme ‘Consider This’, on Astro Awani, regarding her views on the Protection from Online Falsehoods and Manipulation Act (POFMA). Kirsten started off by saying that the amount of state overreach within the bill was her main concern. She added that the […]
In Singapore, with general elections expected in a few months, legal battles over libel are ongoing and there is a real possibility of fights over fake news. One ongoing libel case involves Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong’s lawsuit against Leong Sze Hian, a shadow finance minister of the People’s Voice Party (PVP), an opposition […]
Under the new law, online media outlets, including social media platforms like Facebook and Twitter, will be forced to issue corrections and remove content that the Singaporean government determines to be untrue, according to Reuters.
Vancent Zhu was a loud but lonely voice of dissent against a flash mob by Hong Kong protest supporters near Vancouver Zhu has previously protested in potentially hostile waters, sailing to the disputed Diaoyu Islands to assert Chinese territorial claims in 2006 When Vancent Zhu heard that supporters of the Hong Kong protest movement would be gathering at a shopping mall in Richmond, near Vancouver, to sing their de facto anthem Glory to Hong…
diagnostic code reader

Comments are closed, but trackbacks and pingbacks are open.